Who needs what to make the 2023 World Cup in India in October and November.
Who has qualified?
Seven teams have so far booked their places at the 10-team tournament. These are India (hosts) as well as England, Australia, New Zealand, Pakistan, Bangladesh and Afghanistan who have come through the ICC World Cup Super League after each winning 11 or more of their games.
That leaves one place, currently occupied by the West Indies, remaining from the Super League with the last two places to be filled by the best two sides at a 10-team qualifying tournament in Zimbabwe in June and July.
Sri Lanka, South Africa and Ireland still have a chance to snatch that eighth qualifying spot but Zimbabwe and Netherlands are out of the running.
Wither West Indies?
The West Indies, world champions in 1975 and 1979, are currently eighth in the Super League and hold the final qualifying spot. However, they have played all of their 24 games and won just nine, leaving them with 88 points.
They have no further games to play and can be ousted by South Africa, Sri Lanka or Ireland.
To qualify via this route the West Indies effectively need Sri Lanka to lose their series with New Zealand, which starts on Saturday, the Netherlands to upset South Africa next week and Bangladesh to avoid a whitewash against Ireland in May.
Position: 8th
Points: 88 (Net run rate: −0.738)
Matches to play: 0
Maximum points: 88
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South Africa sweat
Of the big sides still sweating, the Proteas are breathing the easiest. They are currently ninth in the table but have two games left to play against bottom side the Netherlands.
Winning both of those matches would put South Africa eighth and into the World Cup – so long as Sri Lanka do not win 3-0 in New Zealand.
One victory would put the Proteas level on points with the West Indies, who currently have a better net run rate.
However, they would still need Sri Lanka to win no more than one game against the Black Caps and for the Irish to win only two of their three games against Bangladesh, while maintaining a worse net run rate.
Position: 9th
Points: 78 (NRR −0.410)
Matches to play: 2
Maximum points: 98
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Sri Lanka in control
Sri Lanka, the 1996 winners, are in the enviable position of having qualification in their own hands.
A 3-0 win in New Zealand will give them eighth spot regardless of how anyone else gets on.
Position: 10th
Points: 77 (NRR −0.094)
Matches to play: 3
Maximum points: 107
Ireland outsiders
Ireland need everything to go their way, notably winning their three-match series against Bangladesh which will be played at Chelmsford, England in May, the final matches in the Super League.
Even that might not be enough to go through. They need South Africa to slip up against the Dutch and the Sri Lankans to lose at least one match in New Zealand.
Position: 11th
Points: 68 (NRR −0.382)
Matches to play: 3
Maximum points: 98
Final qualifier
For the teams who miss out, there is a final chance to make it to India as one of the two best from a 10-team qualifying tournament in Zimbabwe. The hosts and the Netherlands are already in the mix for this.
The five who come down from the Super League will be joined by Scotland, Oman and Nepal who were the top three teams in World Cup League 2 plus two others still to be decided.
These final two will be settled in Namibia next week in a League 2 repechage when the hosts will be joined in a playoff competition by Papua New Guinea, UAE, USA, Jersey and Canada.
© Agence France-Presse
